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How is the 10/2 Yield doing today.

COCA COLA COWBOY

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I brought this up months ago and look at this graph at least weekly. For those newer to this subject when there is a negative yield curve, this has been a leading indicator that a recession is 6-9 months away. Yes, we are currently in a recession, but we can look around and know it's not hurting many at this point. However, with the degree of negativity that this curve is depicting, we are in for some "hurt."

If you would like more information about this yield and it's history, I would be more than happy to provide more information.

fredgraph-2.png

 

c_land

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5900693A-966F-4395-B24D-3E55C570C1A3.jpeg


3M/10Y has been reliable in the past too. I have no idea how this is being distorted by QT, rate hikes, and terminal rate expectations.

If we end up in recession, it seems it is the most anticipated recession ever.
 
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