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OldSchoolBoats

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I feel confident that Trump will win Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Alaska. This sets up Pennsylvania being the on state that both paths will need to get to victory, that is why there has and is so much focus on that state right now.

Ultimately, Trump will prevail.
 

FishSniper

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I feel confident that Trump will win Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Alaska. This sets up Pennsylvania being the on state that both paths will need to get to victory, that is why there has and is so much focus on that state right now.

Ultimately, Trump will prevail.
I hope you are correct.
 

SKIDMARC

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I feel confident that Trump will win Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Alaska. This sets up Pennsylvania being the on state that both paths will need to get to victory, that is why there has and is so much focus on that state right now.

Ultimately, Trump will prevail.


I have to disagree. Fox just gave MI and WI and AZ to Biden. If Biden wins NV, those other states don't matter. He's got 270
 

RodnJen

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How can Fox give AZ to Biden based on the information coming out of that state at this point?

Because they’re a TV network. I wouldn’t put much stock in it.
 

OldSchoolBoats

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I have to disagree. Fox just gave MI and WI and AZ to Biden. If Biden wins NV, those other states don't matter. He's got 270

Fox is a joke and did you notice that my path includes Nevada? He needs Nevada or AZ. He will win NV by a thin margin. Less than 3K votes.
 

ArizonaKevin

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Yeah ABC has un-called AZ for Biden. It may still land Biden, but will end up WAY closer than getting called last night.

1604528097441.png
 

Bpracing1127

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I’m not hitting the I believe button with Trump at this time
 

El Rojo

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I feel confident that Trump will win Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina and Alaska. This sets up Pennsylvania being the on state that both paths will need to get to victory, that is why there has and is so much focus on that state right now.

Ultimately, Trump will prevail.
What makes you think that Trump win NV?
 

samsah33

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AZ is only at ~85%, which means there's about 500k votes still outstanding and Trupm is down by about 90k votes. It's not over. TV stations have called other races, but they're tight and could swing either way since election have not yet been certified. In NV, Trump is only about 8k behind and NV is only 75% counted... WI is only down by 20k, and that could be an easy challenge to find dead voters and invalid ballots, it's not a huge obstacle...

I can hope, right?
 

regor

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I don’t understand how media outlets calling states is Actually effecting election results

It's a narrative to shape their sheep....................................into believing the Trump clan is trying to steal the election.
 

BONER

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AZ is only at ~85%, which means there's about 500k votes still outstanding and Trupm is down by about 90k votes. It's not over. TV stations have called other races, but they're tight and could swing either way since election have not yet been certified. In NV, Trump is only about 8k behind and NV is only 75% counted... WI is only down by 20k, and that could be an easy challenge to find dead voters and invalid ballots, it's not a huge obstacle...

I can hope, right?

AZ will be overturned.
 

regor

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its over guys. Pending any successful court challenges, the socialists were successful in their cheating efforts....


Not even Dave.

The outstanding votes in AZ favor Trump and the pedo has a big task in PA to overcome Trump's lead.....................that might just expose them further to fraud in their attempts to get there.
 

SKIDMARC

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Fox is a joke and did you notice that my path includes Nevada? He needs Nevada or AZ. He will win NV by a thin margin. Less than 3K votes.


Maybe they are a joke but so is all the other networks right? I'm going off of what they say. They are a red channel so if they are calling things blue what would they gain out of calling this wrong for blue?
 

Carlson-jet

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its over guys. Pending any successful court challenges, the socialists were successful in their cheating efforts....

Not giving up yet. It's fairly iffy to put it in simple terms.
I think PA is a lock for Trump.
This is how MSM punishes us for not liking their fake news.

Maybe they are a joke but so is all the other networks right? I'm going off of what they say. They are a red channel so if they are calling things blue what would they gain out of calling this wrong for blue?

Fox was in the lead for calling things that were not true.
 

OldSchoolBoats

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What makes you think that Trump win NV?

Looking at the amount of votes that is separating them, it is less than 8k and all the red counties in NV have Trump up by over 60% in each, with the majority over 75% and they are only 70%-80% reported in those counties. The "blue" counties are not blowouts for Biden either.
 

OldSchoolBoats

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Maybe they are a joke but so is all the other networks right? I'm going off of what they say. They are a red channel so if they are calling things blue what would they gain out of calling this wrong for blue?

After last night and today, I don't consider them a "Red" Channel any longer. They are the same as all the other MSM, with the exception of Hannity and Tucker.
 

RCDave

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Not even Dave.

The outstanding votes in AZ favor Trump and the pedo has a big task in PA to overcome Trump's lead.....................that might just expose them further to fraud in their attempts to get there.
You sir have more faith in the remnants of this republic than I. the left have been extremely effective in their efforts to convert it
 

RCDave

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Not giving up yet. It's fairly iffy to put it in simple terms.
I think PA is a lock for Trump.
This is how MSM punishes us for not liking their fake news.



Fox was in the lead for calling things that were not true.

I wish it was. I'm sure the evil party has a few hundred thousand all Biden ballets hidden in a truck somewhere.
 

ArizonaKevin

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There is a plausible read that NV will flip red, the biggest hurdle in NV has always been the union involvement in driving out the casino/hotel/restaurant worker vote. With most of these being shut or at extremely limited capacity, the union in Vegas will have less pull.

Still not confident, but possible.
 

HB2Havasu

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Let's all pray that the fraud in Wisconsin and Michigan get's revealed during a recount. If the Marxist Mob takes over D.C. we better all start taking Mandarin as a 2nd Language courses. Even with all the voter fraud my money is on The Donald !!!
 

SKIDMARC

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Eric Trump and Rudy Giuliani just had a press conference in Philadelphia and said they caught the Dems cheating....

And. Here. We. Go....


Did they say how? Could get very interesting. But PA may not even matter.
 

JUSTWANNARACE

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Fox has gone blue. Hell even Tucker was calling the fox network out, in a round about Way, in his little interviews last night.

Fox called Arizona last night when it was less than 50% counted. Those guys in the "info" room are definitely left if you heard them and the way they where talking last night.

Seems like they are closing states for Biden then said state stops counting? Or at least slowed the counting? Why is that? I know I have my assumptions..
 

liquid addiction

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I had heard in the beginning that Trump would need at least 5% in PA to cover the voter fraud. So it was already expected before Tuesday.
 

samsah33

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Fox has gone blue. Hell even Tucker was calling the fox network out, in a round about Way, in his little interviews last night.

Fox called Arizona last night when it was less than 50% counted. Those guys in the "info" room are definitely left if you heard them and the way they where talking last night.

Seems like they are closing states for Biden then said state stops counting? Or at least slowed the counting? Why is that? I know I have my assumptions..
Just like Virgina last nite, Fox had them solid blue with 0 votes. They said it was because of their exit polling and other polls that there was no way Trump could pull of VA...
 

500bbc

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Carlson-jet

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I had heard in the beginning that Trump would need at least 5% in PA to cover the voter fraud. So it was already expected before Tuesday.
Sad, I think Il has better standards,

We Flipped our County back to red if the numbers hold. ( Mchenry) That is a big if. The Chicago Machine is strong and has tentacles that reach a thousand miles.
The last bastion near us is Lake County and it's looking pink as well. I'm hoping the hard work, time and effort some of us put in holds Or I'm drinking heavily tonight.
 

squeezer

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AZ is only at ~85%, which means there's about 500k votes still outstanding and Trupm is down by about 90k votes. It's not over. TV stations have called other races, but they're tight and could swing either way since election have not yet been certified. In NV, Trump is only about 8k behind and NV is only 75% counted... WI is only down by 20k, and that could be an easy challenge to find dead voters and invalid ballots, it's not a huge obstacle...

I can hope, right?


(Let me help you with whats left of those hopes. Full Credit Nate Silver)

Arizona. We may need to do a longer post on Arizona later. What’s left to count is mostly mail votes that were returned late in the process — on Monday or Tuesday. There’s some ambiguity about how many ballots this actually is; Edison Research seems to think around 450,000. If so, Trump would need to win those votes by 21 points to overtake Biden’s current 93,000-vote lead. They’re disrupted fairly evenly throughout the state.


Wait — outstanding mail votes? Shouldn’t those be good for Biden, as in other states? Well, not necessarily, because Republicans have a fairly strong mail voting program in Arizona and — this is the key part — the mail ballots that were returned later in the process (the ones yet to be continued) were significantly redder than the ones that came in earlier on, as Democrats sent their votes in early. For instance, the party registration of the votes that came in Monday and Tuesday were: 23 percent Democratic, 44 percent Republican, and 33 percent independent or other parties. That is to say, a 21-point GOP edge, which would put Trump on track to tie things up.


But … here’s the bad news for Trump. Party registration may be a misleading indicator in Arizona. It has a lot of ancestral Republicans who have now turned into swing voters. Biden also had a big lead among independents in polls. And earlier batches of mail ballots were considerably stronger for Biden than party registration alone would suggest. So probably these ballots are going to come in more for Trump than for Biden, but not as strongly as he needs.


There’s also the fact that two other news organizations, the Associated Press and Fox News, have called the state for Biden. I’d assume they’ve put more work into looking into this than I have, so that shifts my priors a bit, but you never know and you will get incorrect calls occasionally. Overall, I’d say this is Likely Biden but I don’t think the state should have been called yet.
 

YeahYeah01

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It looks like there is still a million or so ballots left to count in PA, and trumps lead has shrank in half. Not looking really great.
 

regor

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Let's all pray that the fraud in Wisconsin and Michigan get's revealed during a recount. If the Marxist Mob takes over D.C. we better all start taking Mandarin as a 2nd Language courses. Even with all the voter fraud my money is on The Donald !!!

Couple positives out of this cycle.

1) We saved the Senate, which can be a big hindrance to the bastards

2) Many, many more people will now realize how important it is to pay attention and vote. I just hope it's not too late.

One other positive is Trump's reshaping of the SC, that is huge.
 

regor

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(Let me help you with whats left of those hopes. Full Credit Nate Silver)

Arizona. We may need to do a longer post on Arizona later. What’s left to count is mostly mail votes that were returned late in the process — on Monday or Tuesday. There’s some ambiguity about how many ballots this actually is; Edison Research seems to think around 450,000. If so, Trump would need to win those votes by 21 points to overtake Biden’s current 93,000-vote lead. They’re disrupted fairly evenly throughout the state.


Wait — outstanding mail votes? Shouldn’t those be good for Biden, as in other states? Well, not necessarily, because Republicans have a fairly strong mail voting program in Arizona and — this is the key part — the mail ballots that were returned later in the process (the ones yet to be continued) were significantly redder than the ones that came in earlier on, as Democrats sent their votes in early. For instance, the party registration of the votes that came in Monday and Tuesday were: 23 percent Democratic, 44 percent Republican, and 33 percent independent or other parties. That is to say, a 21-point GOP edge, which would put Trump on track to tie things up.


But … here’s the bad news for Trump. Party registration may be a misleading indicator in Arizona. It has a lot of ancestral Republicans who have now turned into swing voters. Biden also had a big lead among independents in polls. And earlier batches of mail ballots were considerably stronger for Biden than party registration alone would suggest. So probably these ballots are going to come in more for Trump than for Biden, but not as strongly as he needs.


There’s also the fact that two other news organizations, the Associated Press and Fox News, have called the state for Biden. I’d assume they’ve put more work into looking into this than I have, so that shifts my priors a bit, but you never know and you will get incorrect calls occasionally. Overall, I’d say this is Likely Biden but I don’t think the state should have been called yet.

Nate Silver...........................
LMAO .gif



You still riding that pedo's horse after his and yore embarrassment yesterday? 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂
 

regor

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It looks like there is still a million or so ballots left to count in PA, and trumps lead has shrank in half. Not looking really great.

Yeah, especially when they won't allow Trump's people the right to view the count. 😂

This thing is heading for the court. When we win, Don will have to stomped the shit out of these Marxist faggots.
 

Singleton

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We are heading to the SC before this is settled.

WI and MI - more votes counted then registered voters (had to be registered by 10/30 to vote). That will need to be explained.

AZ - hard count should resolve this issue

PA - ballots being counted, with no evidence when they were received. Large % of ballots voted for POTUS only and nothing else (strange - don’t see that often).

GA - one of the main counting locations flooded last night (damaging ballots but they are trying to count those). Once again, evidence of when the ballot was received at risk (envelopes damaged due to flooding).

NC - not sure WTF is going on.
 

YeahYeah01

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Will see whats happens... From my last post until now a batch of about 36k were counted with about 20k going Blue (roughly 55%). Even with a million votes left if that percentage holds the trump will be good.
 

squeezer

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Nate Silver...........................
You still riding that pedo's horse after his and yore embarrassment yesterday? 😂 😂 😂 😂 😂


Don't bother projecting your feelings onto me...

I put my EC map on the wall Oct 12th in the "Election Bets" thread. By all indicators that map is going to be pretty damm close except for (Ahem) Arizona... Poles had Florida going Blue but I didn't see that happening. Iowa was also looking much stronger for Trump than what I felt was likely.

So you just go right ahead believing whatever it is that lets you sleep at night and I will keep on believing in data.
 

MSum661

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Really hate to say this......prepare for a Biden win.
 

SKIDMARC

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We are heading to the SC before this is settled.

WI and MI - more votes counted then registered voters (had to be registered by 10/30 to vote). That will need to be explained.- Unless they have different laws you can register in person the day of the election and your vote will count. Not sure what numbers are though one registered voters vs votes.

AZ - hard count should resolve this issue

PA - ballots being counted, with no evidence when they were received. Large % of ballots voted for POTUS only and nothing else (strange - don’t see that often).- The ballots should be post marked I would assume. That's how they would know.

GA - one of the main counting locations flooded last night (damaging ballots but they are trying to count those). Once again, evidence of when the ballot was received at risk (envelopes damaged due to flooding).- They already said none of the ballots were damaged.

NC - not sure WTF is going on.


Kind of of funny that no one questioned the validity of these states when they went Trump in 2016.
 

LargeOrangeFont

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Don't bother projecting your feelings onto me...

I put my EC map on the wall Oct 12th in the "Election Bets" thread. By all indicators that map is going to be pretty damm close except for (Ahem) Arizona... Poles had Florida going Blue but I didn't see that happening. Iowa was also looking much stronger for Trump than what I felt was likely.

So you just go right ahead believing whatever it is that lets you sleep at night and I will keep on believing in data.

That is total and udder bullshit. You were running around saying Trump had a 1 in 10 shot of winning based on Nate Silvers inaccurate predictions. But now, today, you say you decided you disagreed with his predictions. Then why were you continually quoting them for the last week?

Oh let me guess they weren't "yore" projections, you just regurgitated the drivel :)

The reality is that this race was much closer than "one in 10".
 

squeezer

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That is total and udder bullshit. You were running around saying Trump had a 1 in 10 shot of winning based on Nate Silvers inaccurate predictions. But now, today, you say you decided you disagreed with his predictions. Then why were you continually quoting them for the last week?

Oh let me guess they weren't "yore" projections, you just regurgitated the drivel :)

The reality is that this race was much closer than "one in 10".


Go look at my posts in the Election Bets thread... I was pretty damm clear about where I felt things would land.

But phuck that takes some effort and reading comprehension so my expectations are about 1 in 10 you will do it.
 
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