DrunkenSailor
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U.S. states are bleeding cash as pandemic drags on with no stimulus in sight
Without state and local aid from new stimulus legislation, many state and local governments will find themselves swimming in a sea of red ink, according to an analysis by Moody's Analytics.
finance.yahoo.com
They are writing the article to pressure washington to act on a stimulus plan. What they don't realize is they are shooting themselves in the head.
In may after a month and a half in shutdowns. Ny had budget shortfalls just over 10mm dollars in lost tax revenue. I'm terrified to see what their number is when they release their next budget. Same story in LA. The defund the police shiny object is only going to last until they start making cuts in education, transportation, sanitation, pretty much all the ations...
Ask yourself this question: What is your city/county/states budget percentage of financial obligations to pensions and debt. Compare that to what percentage of tax revenue have they lost due to the pandemic shutdowns. Now look at what it costs to run day to day operations and think about what programs you benefit from that will be on the chopping block.
Throw in a commercial bond market that is a dumpster fire on a tanker carrying fertilizer docked next to a pressurized natural gas tanker.
Let's look at the commercial bond market values. In 2006 it was 4.6 today it's 9.5. mortgage backed securities in 2006 were 8.3 today they are 10.2. in 2006 the dow average was 11,609. Today it closed 29,438 after a fall of 344 points. The treasury securities total were 4.3 in 2006. In 2019 16.6.
The mortgage market has surpassed 2006 highs before the last correction. The commercial bond market has doubled. The dow tripled and government debt has tripled.
After the longest bull market in history rates are at the lowest I have ever seen outside of a hamp mod teaser.
To those who say we will never see the likes of 2008 again don't look down we are a long way up from the floor...